SDE Raster Dataset
Tags
land cover, land use, land use change
This dataset was generated to support various activities within the State of California's 4th Climate Assessment. The study projected changes in land use and land cover resulting from processes such as urbanization, expansion and contraction of agriculture, and forest harvest. This dataset is a transition probability map, modeling the likelihood of land to undergo land use change by the year 2100. LINK TO STUDY ARTICLE - http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000560/full
This dataset represents the likelihood of land conversion across four population growth scenarios. Represents the percentage of model simulations that predict a given cell will undergo land use change by year 2100.
Project Metadata: Modeled projections of land use and land cover and population for the State of California for the period 1970-2101. For the 1970-2001 period, we used the USGS's LUCAS model to "backcast" LULC, beginning with the 2001 initial conditions and ending with 1970. For future projections, the model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 5 simulations were run with 10 Monte Carlo replications of each simulation. The simulations include: 1) Historical backcast from 2001-1970, 2) Business-as-usual (BAU) projection from 2001-2101, and 3) three modified BAU projections based on California Department of Finance population projections based on high, medium, and low growth rates.
U.S. Geological Survey, Western Geographic Science Center
None
Extent
| West | -125.383394 | East | -112.771047 |
| North | 43.620321 | South | 31.131762 |
| Maximum (zoomed in) | 1:5,000 |
| Minimum (zoomed out) | 1:150,000,000 |